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The Bull & Bear - 24.4.2020

9th May 2020

24.4.2020

Good afternoon,

I’ve always believed that a picture paints a thousand words.

When I think of this adage I am always reminded of a family holiday to Spain when the kids were much younger. It was just another little lie that I’ve offered up to them when I said “Come on…this will be great!” as I ushered them into the Prado Museum in Madrid. On reflection I must have told them a very good many white lies over the years, except of course when they ask “who I love most?” and I answer “sorry boys, it’s your sister”.  But back to the story. I’m not that steeped in culture, more of a Messi and Guscott man than your Picasso and … um…um (well you see my point) but I thought it would be good for all our souls to browse the collections on display. It was also, I remember, very hot outside and another good reason to go inside was that I expected it to have good air conditioning.

Now, among other masters on display that day, Picasso was in the house and I needn’t have looked through all the notes and sketches that preceded his “Guernica” to be stopped in my tracks when I saw the main event, and to absolutely, instantly get what he wanted to say in that extraordinary painting. A book filled to the brim could not convey the same tragedy, power and emotion of “Guernica” and that moment has stayed with me to this day. Any time I think of it I can see it in my mind’s eye. Unfortunately, we remain the Luddites that we are, but I do not regret that museum trip in the slightest.

Now the Vanguard analyst behind the chart detailed below is no Picasso, although I’m sure that they would be very pleased to hear they are being mentioned in the same sentence as the great man. When I experience significant problems I always try and see the bigger picture, the context, and the Vanguard chart allows this when we consider the current turmoil in the markets. At a glance we can see that over time there are far more Bull markets than Bear markets, that there is more upside than downside, and in financial terms more good than bad. 

Bull and Bear Markets

As always, let us know if there is anything more that we can do for you and please do not hesitate to contact us to share any comments or concerns that you may have.

With all good wishes,

Steve Brady

Director
Pilgrim Financial Planning

Steve Brady

CII

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